Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner
6 live outcomes · highest priced: Lai Jui-lung at 87% (−3 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 29, 2026 · $205.6K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the next Kaohsiung mayoral election in Taiwan, scheduled for November 28, 2026. Each market represents a specific candidate and evaluates whether that individual will win the election to become the next Mayor of Kaohsiung.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains individual markets for potential candidates running for mayor. Because the election determines a single winning candidate who becomes mayor, at most one candidate market can resolve Yes. If no candidate is elected or the result remains unknown by the deadline, markets resolve to 'Other'.
How it resolves
A market resolves Yes if its specified candidate becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of the November 28, 2026 election; otherwise, it resolves No. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed prior to the election are not considered. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results from the Taiwanese government's Central Election Commission if ambiguity exists. If no candidate is elected or results are unknown by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the event resolves to 'Other'.
Key dates
- Election date: — Taiwanese local elections scheduled date
- Resolution deadline: — 11:59 PM ET cutoff for known results before resolving to Other
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or official results from the Taiwanese government (Central Election Commission)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lai Jui-lung | 87% | ▼ 3 | Low | Med | |
| Ko Chih-en | 13% | ▲ 3 | Low | Med | |
| Lin Tai-hua | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Chiu Yi-ying | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Hsu Chih-chieh | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Chang Ching | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low |