IN-05 House Election Winner
1 live outcome · highest priced: J. D. Ford (D) at 21% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $33.1K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 election for Indiana's 5th congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Markets in the event measure which political party or candidate will win the congressional seat.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of individual markets tracking which political party wins the single congressional seat. Because only one candidate and party can win the seat, at most one party market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if a candidate affiliated with the specified party wins the IN-05 congressional district seat in the 2026 midterm elections, and No otherwise. A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed affiliation, or if not listed as Democrat or Republican, by their most recently expressed intent to caucus. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results from the Federal Election Commission if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Midterm election date: — The date the 2026 midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting, or official results reported by the Federal Election Commission
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. D. Ford (D) | 21% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Victoria Spartz (R) | 79% | ▼ 2 | Low | Med |