IN-02 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Rudy Yakym (R) at 96% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $38.9K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Indiana's 2nd congressional district. Markets measure which political party will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains markets for different political parties competing for a single congressional seat. Because only one winning candidate and affiliated party can claim the seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified party wins the IN-02 U.S. House seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation when elections are called, or by expressed intent to caucus for candidates without listed affiliations. Resolution is based on a consensus of credible reporting, with official Federal Election Commission results used if there is ambiguity.
Key dates
- 2026 Midterm Elections: — Election day for the 2026 midterm elections.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the official fallback
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Yakym (R) | 96% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Jamee Decio (D) | 4% | ±0 | Low | High |