Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Cheng Chao-fang at 73% (+11 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 29, 2026 · $48.8K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election in Taiwan. Its individual markets measure which specific candidate will win the election and become the next Magistrate.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of candidate-specific markets. Because the rules state that resolution is based on the single candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of the election, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the named candidate becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of the local elections. Temporary, interim, or placeholder appointments made before the election do not count. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, with official Taiwanese government results from the Central Election Commission used if there is ambiguity. If the election result is not known or no candidate is elected by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".
Key dates
- Election date: — Scheduled date for Taiwanese local elections.
- Resolution cutoff: — 11:59 PM ET deadline for results before resolving to Other.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Central Election Commission of the Taiwanese government if ambiguous
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheng Chao-fang | 73% | ▲ 11 | Low | Low | |
| Hsu Hsin-ying | 27% | ▼ 11 | Low | Low | |
| Lin Szu-ming | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Chen Chien-hsien | — | — | Not rated | — |