FL-18 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Scott Franklin (R) at 95% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $69.3K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Florida's 18th Congressional District. Markets measure which political party's candidate will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
Markets represent the different political parties competing for the single congressional district seat. Because only one candidate can win the seat, at most one party market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified political party wins the FL-18 seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or stated caucus intent when all House elections are called. Resolution is based on a consensus of credible reporting, or by official Federal Election Commission results if ambiguity exists.
Key dates
- 2026 Midterm Elections: — The midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
Federal Election Commission and consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Franklin (R) | 95% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Curtis Gibson (D) | 5% | ±0 | Low | Med |