FL-12 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Gus Bilirakis (R) at 94% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $82K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Florida's 12th congressional district (FL-12). Markets measure which political party or candidate will win the seat in the midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains markets representing different political parties or candidates competing for a single congressional seat. Because only one candidate can win the seat, at most one market can resolve Yes, while the other resolves No.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified political party wins the FL-12 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or stated intent to caucus when all 2026 House races are called. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official Federal Election Commission results if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Election Day: — Date of the 2026 midterm elections
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the official fallback
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gus Bilirakis (R) | 94% | — | Low | Med | |
| Kimberly Overman (D) | 6% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med |