FL-09 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Dan Green (R) at 70% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $25.3K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Florida's 9th congressional district (FL-09). The markets measure which political party will win the district's House seat.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of separate markets for political parties contesting the election. Because a single seat is being decided for the district, at most one party market can resolve Yes based on the winning candidate's affiliation.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified party wins the FL-09 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or expressed intent to caucus when all 2026 House elections are called. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, with official results from the Federal Election Commission (FEC) serving as the fallback source in case of ambiguity.
Key dates
- Election Day: — Date of the 2026 midterm elections.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission (FEC)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Green (R) | 70% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Darren Soto (D) | 30% | ±0 | Low | High |