PolymarketEvent2 live of 2 outcomes

FL-08 House Election Winner

2 live outcomes · highest priced: Mike Haridopolos (R) at 95% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $61.1K total volume

About this event

This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 election for the U.S. House of Representatives seat representing Florida's 8th congressional district (FL-08). Its markets measure which political party will win the seat in the midterm elections.

How the outcomes relate

The event is structured with separate markets for different political parties competing for the same congressional district seat. Because a single candidate wins the seat, only one party outcome can resolve Yes, while the other resolves No.

How it resolves

Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified political party wins the FL-08 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or expressed intent to caucus when all 2026 House elections are conclusively called. Resolution is based on a consensus of credible reporting, or official Federal Election Commission results if ambiguity exists.

Key dates

  • 2026 Midterm Elections: — Date of the 2026 midterm elections.

Resolution source

A consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for FL-08 House Election Winner
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
Mike Haridopolos (R)95%±0LowHigh
Jennifer Jenkins (D)4%▼ 1LowMed

Highest-priced outcome

Mike Haridopolos (R) · Since Oct 13Range 94–96%