Fed Decision in April?
5 live outcomes · highest priced: No change at 62% (−4 pts in 24h) · first close Apr 28, 2027 · $77.9K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the Federal Reserve's target interest rate decision resulting from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in April 2027. Markets measure the specific change in basis points to the upper bound of the target federal funds rate compared to the prior level.
How the outcomes relate
The event is structured as a set of mutually exclusive brackets covering potential basis-point adjustments (decreases, increases, or no change). At most one market can resolve Yes, representing the specific change bracket determined by the FOMC.
How it resolves
Markets resolve based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate versus its pre-meeting level, as announced in the FOMC statement. If the rate change is not explicitly listed among the options, it is rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points to determine the winning bracket. If no statement is released by the conclusion of the next scheduled meeting, the event resolves to the 'No change' bracket.
Key dates
- FOMC meeting scheduled conclusion: — Date when the FOMC April 2027 meeting is scheduled to conclude and issue its statement.
Resolution source
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement / Federal Reserve official website
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change | 62% | ▼ 4 | Low | Med | |
| 25 bps increase | 25% | ▲ 7 | Low | Med | |
| 25 bps decrease | 8% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| 50+ bps decrease | 5% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| 50+ bps increase | 2% | ±0 | Low | High |