CA-41 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Linda Sánchez (D) at 96% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $23K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for California's 41st congressional district. Individual markets measure whether a specific political party will win the CA-41 House seat.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of separate markets representing political parties competing for the same congressional seat. Because only one candidate can win the single CA-41 House seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the winning candidate belongs to the specified party, and No otherwise. Affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation at the time all 2026 House elections are conclusively called. Candidates without a major party affiliation will be assigned based on their most recently expressed caucus intent. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, with official Federal Election Commission results serving as the sole fallback if ambiguity exists.
Key dates
- 2026 Midterm Election Date: — The date the midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission (FEC) if there is ambiguity
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linda Sánchez (D) | 96% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Mitch Clemmons (R) | 4% | ±0 | Low | Med |