PolymarketEvent1 live of 2 outcomes

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará

1 live outcome · highest priced: Flavio Bolsonaro at 26% (+7 pts in 24h) · first close Oct 26, 2026 · $57.2K total volume

About this event

This event covers which candidate will receive the most valid votes in the state of Pará during the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election. Each market measures whether a specific named candidate finishes in first place in Pará.

How the outcomes relate

Markets represent mutually exclusive candidates competing for first place in valid votes in Pará. Because the market resolves to the single candidate occupying the highest finishing position, at most one candidate market can resolve Yes. If no listed candidate wins or the result is unknown by the deadline, it resolves to Other.

How it resolves

A market resolves to Yes if the specified candidate receives the highest number of valid votes in Pará in the second round of the election. Ties are broken alphabetically by the candidates' listed full names. If the result is not definitively known by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the event resolves to Other. Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting, or solely on official results from Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) if ambiguity arises.

Key dates

  • Second round election date: — Scheduled date for the second round of the presidential election.
  • Resolution deadline: — Results must be known definitively by 11:59 PM ET or the market resolves to Other.

Resolution source

Consensus of credible reporting, or the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
Flavio Bolsonaro26%▲ 7LowMed
Lula81%▼ 2LowMed

Highest-priced outcome

Flavio Bolsonaro · 7 daysRange 8–26%