Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?
2 live outcomes · highest priced: $500M at 38% · first close Jan 1, 2028 · $915.6K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the market valuation of a potential Base governance token, measuring whether its Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) exceeds various dollar thresholds exactly one day following its launch.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of a ladder of valuation thresholds. Multiple markets can resolve Yes if the token's FDV exceeds multiple threshold levels, while achieving a higher valuation implies that all lower threshold markets also resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Base's governance token is greater than the specified target threshold at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. FDV is calculated as the total token supply multiplied by the token price from the most liquid price source available. For a launch to qualify, the token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. If Base does not launch a token by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to No.
Key dates
- Token launch deadline: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $500M | 38% | — | Med | Med | |
| $1B | 38% | — | Med | Med | |
| $2B | — | — | Med | Med | |
| $4B | — | — | Med | Med | |
| $6B | — | — | Med | Med | |
| $8B | — | — | Med | Med | |
| $10B | — | — | Med | Med | |
| $12B | — | — | Med | Med | |
| $3B | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| $5B | — | — | Med | Low |