AZ-08 House Election Winner
1 live outcome · highest priced: Bernadette Greene-Placentia (D) at 12% (−2 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $16.8K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Arizona's 8th congressional district (AZ-08), measuring which political party's candidate will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific political party seeking to win the congressional seat. Because only one candidate can win the single House seat, at most one party market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified party wins the AZ-08 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or most recently expressed intent to caucus when all 2026 House elections are conclusively called. Markets resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting, or solely on official results from the Federal Election Commission if there is ambiguity.
Key dates
- Election Day: — Midterm elections take place on this date.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the official fallback source in case of ambiguity.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernadette Greene-Placentia (D) | 12% | ▼ 2 | Low | Med | |
| Abraham Hamadeh (R) | 89% | ▲ 3 | Low | Med |