AL-02 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Rhett Marques (R) at 69% (−2 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $103.1K total volume
About this event
This event tracks which political party or candidate will win the election for Alabama's 2nd Congressional District (AL-02) seat in the U.S. House of Representatives during the 2026 midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
The event comprises markets representing the competing political parties or candidates for a single congressional seat. Because only one candidate can win the single AL-02 House seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves according to the political party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the 2026 midterm elections. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation when all 2026 House elections are conclusively called; candidates without a listed affiliation are assigned based on their most recently expressed caucus intent. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results from the Federal Election Commission if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Election Day: — The date the 2026 midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission if ambiguous.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhett Marques (R) | 69% | ▼ 2 | Low | High | |
| Shomari Figures (D) | 31% | ±0 | Low | High |