3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
2 live outcomes · highest priced: SpaceX at <1% · first close Jan 1, 2027 · $78.8K total volume
About this event
This event tracks which company will hold the position of the third-largest company in the world by market capitalization at the end of December 2026. Each market evaluates a specific company's standing at that point in time.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of multiple mutually exclusive markets, each corresponding to a different company. Because only a single company can occupy the third-largest position by market cap at the specified cutoff, at most one market can resolve Yes, while all other markets will resolve No.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the named company is determined to be the third-largest company in the world by market cap as of market close on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The determination relies on a consensus of credible reporting. The rules across the markets share the same criteria and resolution source.
Key dates
- Measurement date: — Market close on December 31, 2026
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX | <1% | ±0 | High | Med | |
| Tesla | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| NVIDIA | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Microsoft | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Apple | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Alphabet | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Saudi Aramco | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Amazon | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Broadcom | — | — | Not rated | — |