2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 Taiwanese local elections, measuring which political party's official candidates will win the greatest number of head of local government (mayor or magistrate) races across 22 specific cities, special municipalities, and counties.

How the outcomes relate

The event contains one market per political party. Because the market resolves in favor of the single party that wins the most qualifying elections—with a tie-breaker rule resolving in favor of the party whose English name comes first alphabetically—at most one market can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

A market resolves to Yes if its named party wins the most head of local government races among the specified 9 cities/special municipalities and 13 counties. Candidates must be officially nominated and registered with the party; independents do not count. A market may resolve as soon as mathematical victory is secured. If two or more parties tie for the most wins, the market resolves to the party whose English name comes first alphabetically. If no results are known by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the event resolves to 'Other'. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, with the Central Election Commission serving as the definitive source if ambiguity arises.

Key dates

• Scheduled Election Date: Nov 28, 2026 — Date on which the Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held.
• Resolution Cutoff Deadline: Jun 30, 2027 — 11:59 PM ET deadline; winning party is determined by available results by this date, or 'Other' if no results are known.

Resolution source

Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash · 17 Oct 2026, 14:35 UTC