Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- 24 hours before
- 1 hour before
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules establish an objective and clear standard based exclusively on Binance 1-minute candle high prices for the ETH/USDT pair during a defined window up to 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026. A specific URL and chart setup are designated as the sole resolution source, leaving no discretion to the decider. Position holders should be aware that price action on other exchanges or other currency pairs (such as ETH/USD) will not count if Binance ETH/USDT does not register a new record high.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether Ethereum (ETH/USDT) reaches a new all-time high on Binance by September 30, 2026. Resolution is based strictly on Binance 1-minute candle high prices rather than other exchanges or general spot aggregate data.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT between December 16, 2025 at 16:30 and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET records a final High price higher than any previous Binance 1-minute candle High price on any prior date. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The deciding source is Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle High price data.
Key dates
- Start of tracking window: — 16 December '25 16:30
- End date: — 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT between 16 December '25 16:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.