Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market defines the valuation timestamp specifically as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the launch, where launch requires active, public transferability and trading.
Read the full assessment
The market defines the valuation timestamp specifically as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the launch, where launch requires active, public transferability and trading. However, the rules do not name a specific oracle, price aggregator, or exchange to determine the token price or total supply figure, instead specifying 'the most liquid price source available.' This leaves room for interpretation regarding which trading venue or platform qualifies as having the deepest liquidity at the target timestamp, which could be critical if price variance across decentralized and centralized exchanges is high. If no token launches by December 31, 2026, the market resolves definitively to No.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance▼ −0.05 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the Felix Protocol token exceeds $1 billion exactly one day after its launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation of the Felix token is greater than $1 billion at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. For a launch to count, the token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. FDV is calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not above $1 billion at that specified time. The market also resolves to No if Felix Protocol does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is decided using the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·