Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the calculation formula for fully diluted valuation and define the exact measurement timestamp as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token becoming actively and publicly tradable.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the calculation formula for fully diluted valuation and define the exact measurement timestamp as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token becoming actively and publicly tradable. However, the resolution source is not explicitly named, relying instead on 'the most liquid price source available.' This requires the resolver to determine which exchange or trading pool had the highest liquidity at the specified time, which can vary across venues during volatile early trading days. If no token launches by December 31, 2026, the market definitively resolves to No.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether Felix Protocol's token achieves a Fully Diluted Valuation greater than $300M exactly one day after its launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Felix's token is greater than $300M at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following its launch. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. FDV is calculated as the total token supply multiplied by the token price. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not greater than $300M at that time, or if Felix Protocol does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined using the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·