Felix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly define FDV as the total token supply multiplied by the token price and fix the measurement time to 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, with a clear expiration date of December 31, 2026.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly define FDV as the total token supply multiplied by the token price and fix the measurement time to 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, with a clear expiration date of December 31, 2026. However, the price source is generically defined as the most liquid price source available rather than naming a specific exchange, aggregator, or price oracle. If the token's valuation is near the $800M threshold at the snapshot time, differences in price between decentralized pools and centralized exchanges—or disputes over which venue had the deepest liquidity—could introduce resolution risk.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
1%
chance▼ −0.1 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether Felix Protocol's token achieves a fully diluted valuation exceeding $800M exactly one day after its launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Felix's token is greater than $800M at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. A token launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. FDV is calculated as the total token supply multiplied by the token price. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not greater than $800M at that time, or if Felix Protocol does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution relies on the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·