Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market clearly defines the valuation threshold ($500M), calculation formula (total token supply multiplied by token price), and specific evaluation timestamp (4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch).
Read the full assessment
The market clearly defines the valuation threshold ($500M), calculation formula (total token supply multiplied by token price), and specific evaluation timestamp (4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch). The main ambiguity stems from the resolution source, which is specified generally as the most liquid price source available rather than a named exchange or data aggregator. If pricing differs across decentralized and centralized venues near the valuation threshold, the resolver will have to exercise judgment in selecting the primary source. A definitive backstop resolves the market to No if no launch takes place before December 31, 2026.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
3%
chance▲ +0.1 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pacifica's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Pacifica's token exceeds $500M exactly one day after its launch, with a defined evaluation time of 4:00 PM ET on the subsequent calendar day.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pacifica's token is greater than $500M at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following its launch. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. FDV is calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not greater than $500M at that time, or if Pacifica does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution relies on the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·