CryptoCloses · in 48 days$49.2K volumePart of: Pacifica FDV above ___ one day after launch? →

Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Gotcha risk

Medium

2 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The market clearly defines the valuation snapshot time as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after the token becomes publicly tradable, and sets a fallback resolving to No if no token launch occurs by December 31, 2026.

Read the full assessment

The market clearly defines the valuation snapshot time as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after the token becomes publicly tradable, and sets a fallback resolving to No if no token launch occurs by December 31, 2026. However, the price data relies on the most liquid price source available rather than specifying a designated exchange, price aggregator, or method for measuring trading volume and liquidity. At a specific snapshot minute, different decentralized pools or centralized venues may reflect slightly different prices, leaving room for interpretation regarding which source qualifies as the most liquid.

Resolver
Medium
Timing
Low
Wording
Medium
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

2%

chance

▼ −0.05 pts · 24h

Yes2¢
No98¢
$300M · Yes · 1MO 4.8 H 5.1 L 2.1 C 2.1−2.6 (−55.2%)

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pacifica's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Market explained

This market measures whether Pacifica's token achieves a Fully Diluted Valuation greater than $300M exactly one day after its public launch.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if Pacifica's token reaches a Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) strictly greater than $300M at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. FDV is calculated as the total token supply multiplied by the token price. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not above $300M at that time, or if Pacifica does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution relies on data from the most liquid price source available.

Resolution source

The most liquid price source available

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·