Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market clearly defines the valuation formula and fixes the evaluation snapshot time to 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token's launch.
Read the full assessment
The market clearly defines the valuation formula and fixes the evaluation snapshot time to 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token's launch. However, the resolution source is vaguely specified as the most liquid price source available, leaving it to the resolver to identify which exchange or liquidity pool meets that threshold and to verify the exact total token supply figure at that timestamp. If no token launches publicly before the December 31, 2026 deadline, the market defaults to a No resolution.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance▼ −0.25 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ostium's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ostium doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether Ostium's token achieves a Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) greater than $1 billion at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after its public launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Ostium's token has a Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) strictly greater than $1 billion at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. Launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. FDV is calculated as the total token supply multiplied by the token price from the most liquid price source available. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not greater than $1 billion at that time, or if Ostium does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution relies on the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·