Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules establish a clear formula and a precise timestamp for measurement (4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch), along with a definitive expiration cutoff of December 31, 2026.
Read the full assessment
The rules establish a clear formula and a precise timestamp for measurement (4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch), along with a definitive expiration cutoff of December 31, 2026. However, the resolution source is vaguely defined as the 'most liquid price source available' without specifying which exchange, aggregator, or metric (such as spot price versus a volume-weighted average) determines liquidity or price. Additionally, while the formula relies on total token supply, the rules do not specify an official registry or method for verifying the total supply at that exact moment, leaving some room for interpretation if price or supply data differs across platforms.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance▼ −0.45 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ostium's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ostium doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether Ostium's token achieves a Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) strictly greater than $700M at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after it launches. Launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Ostium's token has a Fully Diluted Valuation greater than $700M at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. FDV is calculated as the total token supply multiplied by the token price from the most liquid price source available. The market resolves to No if the FDV is at or below $700M at that time, or if Ostium does not launch an actively, publicly transferable and tradable token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The outcome is determined using the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·