Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?
Last captured price
1.7¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.7%
$255.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules provide precise resolution criteria based on a single, named primary source and a specific direct link to the Binance futures trading pair. Resolution triggers immediately if any one-minute candle's low price meets or drops below twelve dollars within the explicitly defined time window in Eastern Time. Clear boundaries specify that other exchanges or spot markets will not count, leaving minimal room for ambiguity or decider discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Hyperliquid (HYPEUSDT) between November 24, 2025, 15:45 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the HYPEUSDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance HYPEUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the cryptocurrency Hyperliquid (HYPEUSDT) will reach a specific low price on Binance by the end of 2026. The market resolves based on the 'Low' price of 1-minute candles within a defined timeframe.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if any 1-minute candle for Hyperliquid (HYPEUSDT) on Binance, between November 24, 2025, 15:45 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET, records a 'Low' price equal to or lower than $12. The market resolves No if this condition is not met by the specified end date and time. The resolution relies exclusively on price data from the Binance HYPEUSDT trading pair, specifically the 'Low' prices from 1-minute candles. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets are not considered. The resolution source is Binance, using the HYPEUSDT futures chart with 1-minute candle settings.
Key dates
- Start of observation window: — ET timezone
- End of observation window: — ET timezone
Resolution source
Binance
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