Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 19?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules provide precise and objective resolution criteria.
Read the full assessment
The rules provide precise and objective resolution criteria. The market specifies the exact exchange, trading pair, timeframe, chart settings, and timestamp for checking the price. Resolution relies on a single deterministic data point from a named URL, leaving minimal room for decider discretion or timing confusion.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
3%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $74,000 at a specific minute on November 19, 2026. Resolution is tied strictly to the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at noon Eastern Time rather than a general daily price or other exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 19, 2026 has a final Close price strictly higher than $74,000. It resolves to No if the final Close price is equal to or lower than $74,000. Prices from other exchanges or other trading pairs are not considered. Resolution is decided using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, with price precision determined by the source's decimal places.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1m candle
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·