Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 19?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market has highly specific and objective resolution rules.
Read the full assessment
This market has highly specific and objective resolution rules. It identifies a single price pair (BTC/USDT) on a specific named exchange (Binance) and designates the exact one-minute candle (12:00 PM ET on November 19) whose closing price will decide the outcome. The threshold is strictly defined as greater than $68,000 based on the source's precision. There is virtually no room for decider discretion or timing uncertainty, provided the Binance interface remains accessible.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
43%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin is above $68,000 on November 19, based specifically on the 1-minute candle closing at noon ET on Binance's BTC/USDT pair.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 19 has a final Close price strictly higher than $68,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is at or below $68,000. Resolution is determined strictly by the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, with price precision defined by the source's decimal places, ignoring other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close prices
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·