Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 14?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market has exceptionally clear and programmatic resolution criteria.
Read the full assessment
This market has exceptionally clear and programmatic resolution criteria. It identifies an exact data source (Binance BTC/USDT pair), a specific chart metric (the final Close price of the 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 14), and a strict threshold of strictly above $78,000. There is no decider discretion or ambiguity regarding which exchange, trading pair, or timestamp governs the outcome.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $78,000 at a specific minute on November 14. Resolution relies solely on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle rather than an aggregate index or other exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 14 has a final Close price strictly higher than $78,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is less than or equal to $78,000. Resolution is determined strictly by the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, with price precision matching the decimal places provided by the source.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1m candle close price
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·