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CryptoCloses · in 14 hours$15.6K volumePart of: Bitcoin above ___ on November 14? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 14?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market features clear and specific resolution terms.

Read the full assessment

This market features clear and specific resolution terms. It targets an exact metric: the final close price of the 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance at 12:00 PM ET on November 14. The data source is explicitly named with a direct URL and precise interface instructions, leaving no room for decider discretion or ambiguity regarding which exchange or trading pair determines the outcome.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

74%

chance

▼ −24.6 pts · 24h

Yes74¢
No26¢
68,000 · Yes · 1MO 95.3 H 98.8 L 51.9 C 73.8−21.6 (−22.7%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −46 pts24h · detected 13 Nov 2026, 02:55 UTC

The probability fell from 98% to 53% as Bitcoin dropped 0.98% in the hour and 3.87% over 24 hours on Binance, falling 4.15% below the $68,000 threshold and making staying above that level less likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 02:00 UTC, 59% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −1.0% in the move hour, −3.9% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 22 hours after the move hour.
  • 1 related outcome moved in the same window, 1 in the same direction. Largest: 66,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 06:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Market explained

This market measures whether the Binance BTC/USDT price is above $68,000 at a specific minute on November 14. Resolution relies strictly on a single 1-minute candle on Binance rather than a daily average or prices from other exchanges.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 14, 2026, has a final Close price strictly higher than $68,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is less than or equal to $68,000. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places provided by the source. Resolution is determined strictly by Binance BTC/USDT data.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·