Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
Current price
30¢
+0.5¢ · 24h
Implied probability 30%
$212.7K total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market defines the qualifying timeframe as the full calendar year of 2026 and requires both individuals to be physically present and interact with each other. Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting rather than an official government record or designated news outlet, leaving judgement to the market decider regarding what constitutes broad reporting agreement. Additionally, because a meeting is broadly defined as any in-person interaction, peripheral or brief encounters at international forums could require subjective interpretation to determine if they meet the threshold.
- Wording ambiguity
- Med
- Source discretion
- High
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un have an in-person meeting during the calendar year 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Kim Jong Un meets with Donald Trump between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying meeting is defined as any encounter where both individuals are present and interact with each other in person. The market resolves to No if no qualifying in-person encounter occurs during this period. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Start date: — Beginning of the qualifying period.
- End date: — Qualifying period ends at 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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