Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules provide a specific cutoff time of 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token becoming tradable, along with a longstop date of December 31, 2026. However, the resolution source is broadly defined as the most liquid price source available rather than specifying an exact exchange, aggregator, or calculation methodology for determining total supply and fully diluted valuation. Participants should be aware that the decider will need to select the qualifying trading venue and source for supply metrics to verify whether the valuation threshold was crossed.
- Wording ambiguity
- Med
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token exceeds $700 million on the day following its launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than $700M at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following its launch. To qualify as launched, the token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not above $700M at that specified time, or if Metamask does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The market is evaluated using the most liquid price source available.
Key dates
- Token launch deadline: — Market resolves to No if a qualifying token is not launched by this time.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
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