Will Belgium vs. Italy end in a draw?
Gotcha risk
Medium1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market determines whether a specific soccer match ends in a draw after regular time and stoppage time.
Read the full assessment
This market determines whether a specific soccer match ends in a draw after regular time and stoppage time. The resolution hierarchy is clear, relying primarily on official UEFA match reporting followed by structured secondary data sources. However, participants should be aware of significant exceptional clauses regarding cancellations, delays, and missing data: if the match is canceled, fails to start or finish by November 17, 2026, or lacks available data within 24 hours of completion, the market resolves definitively to Yes rather than voiding or resolving to No. This creates an asymmetric outcome where non-play or abandonment triggers a Yes resolution regardless of whether a draw was actually played.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- High
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
25%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Belgium and Italy, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "Yes". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If a result is awarded by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the awarded result, regardless of the score as played. If no such result is awarded and the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Market explained
This market measures whether the UEFA Nations League match between Belgium and Italy ends in a draw within regular play plus stoppage time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the game ends in a draw at the end of regular play plus stoppage time. The market also resolves to Yes if the game is canceled, does not start by November 17, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, is abandoned without a qualifying official result by that time, or if no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of conclusion. The market resolves to No if the match ends with a winner within regular play plus stoppage time. Resolution is decided primarily by official match information from UEFA Nations League. If statistics are not published within 2 hours of conclusion, Flashscore, then Sofascore, then a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Resolution source
Official match information from UEFA Nations League, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·