Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves based on the official result of a specific UEFA Nations League match between Belgium and Italy.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves based on the official result of a specific UEFA Nations League match between Belgium and Italy. The primary resolution source is official match information from UEFA, with clear backup data providers (Flashscore, Sofascore) in a defined order if official data is delayed. The rules explicitly specify standard soccer market mechanics: only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time count toward the outcome. Detailed, standard contingency rules cover postponements, cancellations, and abandonments, specifying that if the match does not take place or reach an official conclusion by a clear deadline, it resolves to No.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
45%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Belgium and Italy, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If Belgium wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If a result is awarded by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the awarded result, regardless of the score as played. If no such result is awarded and the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether Belgium wins its UEFA Nations League match against Italy within regular play plus stoppage time, with specific conditions if the game is postponed or abandoned.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Belgium wins the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to No if Belgium does not win, or if the game is canceled, fails to start, or is abandoned without an official determining result by November 17, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The market also resolves to No if no acceptable reporting data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion. Resolution is determined primarily by official UEFA Nations League match information, followed by Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting if primary data is delayed.
Resolution source
UEFA Nations League
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·