Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
Current price
48.5¢
Implied probability 48.5%
$8.9 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly define the point spread conditions for resolution, stipulating that the market resolves to the Celtics if they win by two or more points, and to the Pistons otherwise. Standard contingencies for postponement and outright cancellation are explicitly covered, leaving little room for ambiguity or unexpected outcomes.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 20 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Celtics" if the Celtics win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures the point spread outcome between the Boston Celtics and Detroit Pistons for their scheduled NBA game. It resolves based on whether the Celtics win by at least 2 points or if the Pistons cover the spread.
How it resolves
The market resolves to "Celtics" if the Celtics win the game by 2 or more points. The market resolves to "Pistons" if the Celtics do not win by 2 or more points, including if the Pistons win or if the game ends in a tie. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game concludes. If the game is canceled entirely without a make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.
Key dates
- Scheduled game date: — Game scheduled for 3:00 PM ET
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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