Will Amalia Castilla Madrid win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution criteria for the election are straightforward, explicitly excluding interim or caretaker governors.
Read the full assessment
The resolution criteria for the election are straightforward, explicitly excluding interim or caretaker governors. Initial resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting, with a clear fallback to official results from Mexican electoral authorities (IEQROO and INE) in case of dispute. The December 31, 2027 timeout provides ample time following the scheduled June 2027 election date for official certification, minimizing timing friction.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Amalia Castilla Madrid will win the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial election scheduled for June 6, 2027. Resolution requires a definitive winner by December 31, 2027, and explicitly excludes interim or caretaker governors.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Amalia Castilla Madrid wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial election. Interim or caretaker governors do not qualify. The market resolves to No if another listed candidate wins the election. The market resolves to Other if the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official government sources from Quintana Roo and Mexico—including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico—if ambiguity arises.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or official government sources including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·