Will Lidia Rojas Fabro win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves based on the winner of the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial election, explicitly excluding any interim or caretaker appointments.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves based on the winner of the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial election, explicitly excluding any interim or caretaker appointments. Resolution initially relies on a consensus of credible media reporting, but the rules provide a clear, binding fallback to official election authorities, specifically the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico, should any uncertainty arise. The timeline provides a six-month window between the scheduled June 2027 vote and the December 31, 2027 deadline before a timeout resolution to Other is triggered, leaving ample time for certification and legal challenges to conclude.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Last captured price
8%
chance▲ +0.1 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Lidia Rojas Fabro will win the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial election. It excludes interim or caretaker governors and resolves to 'Other' if the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Lidia Rojas Fabro wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial election. Any interim or caretaker Governor does not qualify. The market resolves to No if another listed candidate wins. The market resolves to Other if results are not definitively known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting. If ambiguity exists, it resolves solely based on official government results from Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or official results from Quintana Roo and Mexican government sources including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·