Will Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market relies on standard election outcomes for the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial race, explicitly excluding interim or caretaker governors.
Read the full assessment
The market relies on standard election outcomes for the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial race, explicitly excluding interim or caretaker governors. Initial resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting, but provides a clear fallback to official election authorities (the Electoral Institute of Sonora and INE) if reporting is ambiguous. A long timeout window extending to December 31, 2027, provides sufficient time for official certification and legal challenges to conclude. Note that the rules mention resolving to 'Other' if results are delayed, which is standard multi-choice market phrasing adapted for this race.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez will win the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial election.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial election, excluding any interim or caretaker Governor. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins. The market resolves to Other if election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official government sources from Sonora and Mexico—including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico—if ambiguity arises.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting, or official government sources including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·