Will Froylán Gámez Gamboa win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market clearly defines the winning criteria around the scheduled June 2027 Sonora gubernatorial election.
Read the full assessment
This market clearly defines the winning criteria around the scheduled June 2027 Sonora gubernatorial election. It excludes interim or caretaker governors and provides a generous deadline through December 31, 2027, to accommodate official certifications or legal disputes. While initial resolution relies on a consensus of credible media reporting, unambiguous official electoral bodies—specifically the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico—are designated as the definitive fallback sources.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Froylán Gámez Gamboa will win the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial election. An unusual feature is that interim or caretaker governors do not qualify, and the market resolves to "Other" if definitive results are not known by the end of 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Froylán Gámez Gamboa wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial election, excluding any interim or caretaker Governor appointments. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins the election. The market resolves to "Other" if the definitive results are not known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or in cases of ambiguity, solely by official results from government sources in Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or official results from government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·