Will Marseille win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?
Current price
3.1¢
−0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 3.1%
$4.9K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
This market relies on an objective sporting outcome determined by the official tournament organizer, UEFA. The rules include an early resolution clause that triggers a negative resolution as soon as the team is mathematically eliminated from winning the competition. There is also a defined longstop date of June 18, 2027, after which postponement or cancellation results in a resolution to Other.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship per the rules of UEFA Europa League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League season is cancelled, postponed after June 18, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Europa League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Marseille will win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Marseille wins the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Marseille to win the championship under the rules of the UEFA Europa League, such as being eliminated during the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 18, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from the UEFA Europa League is the primary deciding source, with a consensus of credible reporting also permitted.
Key dates
- Season completion deadline: — Market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past this time, or has no declared winner.
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA Europa League or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.