PolymarketCloses · in 243 daysPart of UEFA Europa League: 2027 Champion →

Will Real Sociedad win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Current price

5.05¢

±0¢ · 24h

Implied probability 5.05%
$4.6K total volume · YES/NO

7-day range 4.75–5.85¢

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment

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This market relies on an unambiguous real-world sports outcome determined by official UEFA tournament results. The rules provide an early resolution clause allowing the market to resolve to No as soon as the team is officially eliminated from contention. A clear deadline of June 18, 2027, handles cancellations or extreme postponements by resolving to Other, leaving little room for subjective interpretation or dispute.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

Liquidity

High tradability

Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.

Book depth $219.1K within 5¢ of mid
Price history range

Price history

Market price
4.9¢5¢5.1¢5.2¢18:3602:3410:3318:31
4.5¢5¢5.5¢6¢Oct 11Oct 14Oct 16Oct 18
4¢5¢6¢7¢Aug 1Aug 27Sep 22Oct 18

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship per the rules of UEFA Europa League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League season is cancelled, postponed after June 18, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Europa League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules history

Rules history is not displayed yet.

Market explained

This market measures whether Real Sociedad will win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if Real Sociedad wins the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Real Sociedad to win the championship per the rules of the UEFA Europa League, such as being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed after June 18, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from the UEFA Europa League serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Key dates

  • Resolution Deadline: — The market resolves to Other if the season is postponed past this time or no winner is declared.

Resolution source

Official information from UEFA Europa League, or a consensus of credible reporting

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Community forecast

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