Will Elche win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$68.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the official winner of the 2026-27 LaLiga season, relying primarily on official league announcements with credible media reporting as a secondary source. The rules specify early resolution to No as soon as mathematical elimination occurs. A clear hard deadline of June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET is established, resolving the market to Other if the season is cancelled, prolonged past that date, or fails to crown a champion in time.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Elche will win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship. It features an early-resolution mechanism if the team becomes mathematically eliminated before season completion, as well as a defined resolution cutoff date.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Elche wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for Elche to win the championship under LALIGA rules, including playoff elimination. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 season is cancelled, postponed past June 14, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or if no champion is declared by that deadline. Official information from LALIGA serves as the primary resolution source, with a consensus of credible reporting used if necessary.
Key dates
- Season resolution cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed after this time, or no winner is declared.
Resolution source
Official information from LALIGA or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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