Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
Current price
0.1¢
−0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.1%
$291.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The outcome is clearly defined by the official champion of the 2026-27 La Liga season using official league information. Participants should note that the market allows for early resolution to No if the team is mathematically eliminated from winning the title before the season concludes. Additionally, if the season is cancelled, delayed past June 14, 2027, or fails to produce a winner by that deadline, the market resolves to Other rather than remaining open indefinitely.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Athletic Bilbao will win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Athletic Bilbao wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Athletic Bilbao to win the championship per the rules of LALIGA (such as elimination). The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from LALIGA serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Season resolution deadline: — Market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past this time, or no winner is declared.
Resolution source
Official information from LALIGA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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