Will Real Sociedad win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
Current price
0.1¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.1%
$318.9K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the official winner of the 2026-27 LaLiga season. The rules include an early resolution clause: if Real Sociedad is mathematically eliminated from winning the title before the season concludes, the market will resolve to No immediately. If the season is cancelled, prolonged beyond June 14, 2027, or no winner is declared by that cutoff, the market resolves to Other. Official announcements from LaLiga serve as the primary source, with consensus media reporting available as a secondary reference.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Real Sociedad will win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship. It features an early resolution trigger if the team is mathematically eliminated before the season concludes, as well as an "Other" fallback if the season extends past a set deadline.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Real Sociedad wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for Real Sociedad to win the championship under LALIGA rules, such as being eliminated. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed past June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that cutoff. The outcome is decided using official information from LALIGA, with a consensus of credible reporting serving as a secondary source.
Key dates
- Season completion cutoff: — Resolves to Other if the season is postponed past this time or no winner is declared
Resolution source
Official information from LALIGA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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