Will Osasuna win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
Current price
0.1¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.1%
$322.9K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market resolves based on the official outcome of the 2026-27 LALIGA season, using official league information as the primary source with credible reporting available as a backup. Early resolution occurs for negative outcomes as soon as the team is mathematically eliminated from winning the championship. A specific hard deadline of June 14, 2027, applies, after which cancellation or lack of a declared winner leads to resolution as Other. The resolution path is straightforward with minimal ambiguity.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether CA Osasuna will win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship. It includes a specific cutoff date triggering a distinct resolution outcome if the football season is cancelled, delayed, or left without an official champion.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Osasuna wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for Osasuna to win the championship under LALIGA rules, such as being eliminated. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Resolution will be determined primarily using official information from LALIGA, alongside a consensus of credible reporting if necessary.
Key dates
- Season resolution deadline: — The market resolves to Other if the season is postponed past this cutoff or no winner is declared by this time.
Resolution source
Official information from LALIGA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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