Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
Current price
5.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 5.5%
$18.3K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The market resolves straightforwardly based on whether the Tampa Bay Lightning win the NHL Stanley Cup for the 2026-27 season, relying on official NHL announcements. Participants should note the early resolution rule, which allows the market to resolve to No as soon as the team is mathematically or officially eliminated from contention rather than waiting for the entire season to conclude. In the event of a cancellation or delay beyond June 30, 2027, the market resolves to Other.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NHL for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of NHL for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NHL (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Tampa Bay Lightning will win the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Championship. A notable feature is that the market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 30, 2027, or if no champion is declared by that cutoff.
How it resolves
This market resolves to Yes if the Tampa Bay Lightning is determined as the champion of the NHL for the 2026-27 season. If multiple teams are declared winners, resolution favors the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. This market resolves to No if the listed team is not named champion, or as soon as it becomes impossible for them to win under NHL rules, such as being eliminated. This market resolves to Other if the event is cancelled, postponed past June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if a champion is not declared by that time. The resolution is determined by official information from the NHL, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Season resolution deadline: — The market resolves to Other if the event is cancelled, postponed past this deadline, or if no champion is declared by this time.
Resolution source
Official information from the NHL, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.