Will the Ottawa Senators be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
Current price
3.45¢
−0.2¢ · 24h
Implied probability 3.45%
$54.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market resolves straightforwardly based on whether the Ottawa Senators win the 2026-27 NHL championship, using official NHL information or credible reporting. Positions will resolve early to No if the team is mathematically or competitively eliminated prior to the finals. There is an explicit deadline of June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, after which cancellation or delay results in a resolution to Other rather than Yes or No. An alphabetical tiebreaker clause exists if multiple winners are declared, though this is exceedingly rare for a sports league.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NHL for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of NHL for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NHL (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Ottawa Senators will win the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup championship. If multiple teams are declared champions, resolution favors the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Ottawa Senators are determined as the champion of the NHL for the 2026-27 season. If multiple teams are declared winners, the outcome favors the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The market resolves to No if the team fails to win or if it becomes impossible for them to win, such as being eliminated. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no champion is declared by that time. The resolution source is official information from the NHL, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Postponement and resolution cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if the event is cancelled, postponed past this time, or no champion is declared.
Resolution source
Official information from the NHL or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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