Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
Current price
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Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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Resolution relies on official TIME magazine covers and feature articles, with a clear fallback deadline of June 30, 2027. However, there is moderate interpretive risk regarding how strictly concepts must match: the rules differentiate between synonymous terms and merely linked concepts (noting that specific products like ChatGPT would not qualify broader concepts like AI), and allow subjective evaluation of whether non-standard phrasing can be reasonably understood as equivalent to Artificial Intelligence.
- Wording ambiguity
- Med
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous. If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017. If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.
Rules history
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Market explained
This market measures whether Artificial Intelligence will be named TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Resolution depends on strict synonymy or equivalence rules if concepts or groups are chosen rather than a direct mention.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Artificial Intelligence is explicitly named TIME Person of the Year for 2026. If a specific concept, group, entity, or thing is chosen, it only counts if it is synonymous with Artificial Intelligence. If TIME uses broader descriptive language, it counts if reasonably understood as equivalent based on the feature article. The market resolves to No if Artificial Intelligence is not named, if a conceptually linked but non-synonymous entity is named, or if no Person of the Year is announced by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is decided by the official TIME magazine cover or covers, or the feature article.
Key dates
- Resolution cutoff: — Market resolves to No if no announcement is made by this time.
Resolution source
TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year, or the TIME Person of the Year feature article
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