Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
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Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market relies directly on official announcements from TIME magazine via its Person of the Year cover and feature article. The rules clearly address standard scenarios as well as collective or conceptual titles, specifying that an individual qualifies if explicitly named or if directly associated with a chosen concept and pictured on an official cover. A definitive backstop date of June 30, 2027, ensures that a failure to announce resolves cleanly to No.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous. If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017. If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.
Rules history
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Market explained
This market measures whether Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf will be named TIME Person of the Year for 2026, including cases where he is directly associated with a winning group or concept and pictured on an official cover.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf is explicitly named as TIME Person of the Year for 2026, including if multiple people are named. If a concept, group, or thing is chosen, it also resolves to Yes if he is directly associated with it and pictured on any official TIME announcement cover. The market resolves to No if he is not named or pictured as required, or if the announcement is not made by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The deciding sources are the official TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the selection, along with the TIME Person of the Year feature article.
Key dates
- Announcement cutoff deadline: — The market resolves to No if TIME Person of the Year 2026 is not announced by this date and time.
Resolution source
TIME magazine cover(s) or the TIME Person of the Year feature article
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