PolymarketCloses · in 73 daysPart of Who will be arrested before 2027? →

Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?

Last captured price

2.5¢

±0¢ · 24h

Implied probability 2.5%
$4.7K total volume · YES/NO

7-day range 2.5–2.7¢

Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment

Gotcha coverage has not been generated for this market.

Liquidity

Medium tradability

Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.

Book depth $44.9K within 5¢ of mid
Price history range

Price history

Market price

Not enough price history for this range yet.

2.4¢2.5¢2.6¢2.7¢2.8¢Oct 13Oct 14Oct 15Oct 15
2.45¢2.5¢2.55¢Oct 13Oct 14Oct 15Oct 15

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules history

Rules history is not displayed yet.

Market explained

Explainer coverage has not been generated for this market.

Community forecast

Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.