Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
Current price
6.35¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 6.35%
$139.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market relies on an unambiguous real-world sports event with the official NFL website designated as the primary authority. Resolution rules clearly specify that the market resolves according to the winner of the game, with an early resolution trigger resolving to 'No' if the team is mathematically eliminated from contention beforehand. A defined cutoff of March 31, 2027 handles potential game cancellations or indefinite postponements by resolving to 'Other'.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Detroit Lions will win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship Game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFC championship game. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for the Detroit Lions to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship under NFL rules, such as being eliminated from playoff contention. The market resolves to Other if the game is cancelled, postponed beyond March 31, 2027 ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Resolution decisions rely on official information from the NFL, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Postponement and resolution cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if the game is postponed past this date or no winner is declared by then.
Resolution source
NFL
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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